Vestri 1-3 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Oct 2024

Vestri
1-3 HT 1-0
Fylkir
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Vestri vs Fylkir Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.71
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
27%
2.49
6+ Goals
14%
5.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
74%
-11.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vestri v Fylkir — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
– Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Vestri vs Fylkir Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Fylkir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.27 xG 1.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
294 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 26
34 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Vestri Vestri 0-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
18.06.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 3-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL
13.08.2022 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL1
04.06.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 5-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1

Vestri 1-3 Fylkir — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
1-3
AWAY Fylkir
1.02 xG 2.13
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 5
374 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fylkir got the better of Vestri 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Vestri carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vestri had 54% of the ball to Fylkir's 46%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.02 to 2.13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fylkir led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vestri and 2.25 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Fylkir?

Vestri 1-3 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Vestri 62%, draw 20%, Fylkir 18%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vestri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vestri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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