Valur 6-1 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.46
Over 2.5
61%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.55
2-3 Goals
36%
2.38
4-5 Goals
31%
2.37
6+ Goals
14%
3.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-12.7pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
25%
+13.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
75%
-13.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.92/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.07
+4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
22.9 Crosses 18.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.18 xG 1.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
424 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
44 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 2-1 Valur Valur İZL
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
08.08.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
11.05.2022 Valur Valur 4-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
6-1
AWAY İA Akranes
3.11 xG 0.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 13
13 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
420 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
52 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur swept aside İA Akranes 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 56% of the ball to İA Akranes's 44%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 3.11 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Valur and 0.83 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Valur vs İA Akranes?

Valur 6-1 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Valur 52%, draw 24%, İA Akranes 24%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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