Valur 2-0 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
2.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.42
-2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
436 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.6 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
08.08.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
11.05.2022 Valur Valur 4-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
30.04.2021 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-0
AWAY İA Akranes
2.98 xG 0.56
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
532 Passes 254
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
53 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valur vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur saw off İA Akranes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Valur had 64% of the ball to İA Akranes's 36%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 2.98 to 0.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valur and 0.67 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Valur vs İA Akranes?

Valur 2-0 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Valur 52%, draw 27%, İA Akranes 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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