KA Akureyri 1-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.71/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/2.72
+9% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.7 Crosses 22.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
4W-2D-0L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.34 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 328
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
30.07.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.05.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-3 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZK
07.05.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
18.07.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-0 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
01.05.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.50 xG 0.99
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
382 Passes 190
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri and HK Kopavogur couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 63% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 37%, shots finished 26-7, expected goals 1.50 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 0.50 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur?

KA Akureyri 1-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 50%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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