Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 31%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+36% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.2 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.08.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
05.06.2021 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
29.09.2020 Vestri Vestri 1-2 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
12.09.2020 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-0
AWAY Vestri
1.12 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
209 Passes 391
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik got the better of Vestri 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 38% of the ball to Vestri's 62%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.12 to 1.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 0.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Fram Reykjavik 2-0 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 41%, draw 24%, Vestri 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ BTTS Yes
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