Fylkir 3-4 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.39/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.16
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.1 Crosses 23.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.65 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
310 Passes 349
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
01.06.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-3 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 3-4 HT 1-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZK
26.07.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-0 HT 2-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
12.05.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 1-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
27.09.2020 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
3-4
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.93 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
183 Passes 279
61% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik edged past Fylkir 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fylkir had 44% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 56%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.93 to 2.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fylkir and 2.50 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Fylkir 3-4 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 34%, draw 23%, KR Reykjavik 43%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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