İA Akranes 3-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.33
No
45%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
71%
-16.2pp
45%
BTTS No
29%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 61%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.33/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/0.98
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
Crosses 15.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 2.98
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
254 Passes 532
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 53
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
20.03.2024 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
18.02.2023 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZLK
08.08.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
11.05.2022 Valur Valur 4-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
17.07.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
3-2
AWAY Valur
1.48 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
244 Passes 316
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 34
26 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes nicked a narrow win over Valur 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İA Akranes had 46% of the ball to Valur's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.48 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İA Akranes and 2.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Valur?

İA Akranes 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 29%, draw 23%, Valur 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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