FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.40/2.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.03
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.5 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Breidablik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.64
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
218 Passes 378
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
13.02.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
17.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
10.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
05.06.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0
AWAY Breidablik
0.51 xG 0.47
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
235 Passes 311
67% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur squeezed past Breidablik 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 46% of the ball to Breidablik's 54%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.51 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.33 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 27%, draw 30%, Breidablik 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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