Valur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v İB Vestmannaeyjar — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Valur
İZL
2-1
HT 0-1
İB Vestmannaeyjar
İZL
Valur 2-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Actual Match Statistics
Valur nicked a narrow win over İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Valur had 46% of the ball to İB Vestmannaeyjar's 54%, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 2.53 to 0.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Valur's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Valur and 1.00 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.
What was the final score of Valur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?
Valur 2-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Valur 53%, draw 25%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.