Breidablik 1-0 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+7.0pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.4pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.53/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.01
-6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.7 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY İA Akranes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.81 xG 2.13
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
399 Passes 236
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 21
31 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.09.2025 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 2-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 1-4 HT 1-3 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
23.09.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
25.08.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
23.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.03.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
1-0
AWAY İA Akranes
1.23 xG 2.30
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
369 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik squeezed past İA Akranes 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Breidablik had 49% of the ball to İA Akranes's 51%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.23 to 2.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured İA Akranes.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Breidablik and 1.67 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Breidablik 1-0 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 55%, draw 21%, İA Akranes 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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