Breidablik 2-0 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.98
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.28
2-3 Goals
36%
2.22
4-5 Goals
29%
2.44
6+ Goals
18%
4.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
2.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.48
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.6 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
5W-1D-0L
AWAY İA Akranes
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.11 xG 1.56
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
426 Passes 176
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
23.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.03.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
01.08.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
27.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-3 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
07.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-5 HT 0-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
2-0
AWAY İA Akranes
1.08 xG 0.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
427 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik got the better of İA Akranes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Breidablik had 52% of the ball to İA Akranes's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.08 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Breidablik and 1.17 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Breidablik 2-0 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 56%, draw 22%, İA Akranes 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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