Fram Reykjavik 3-1 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 29%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.75/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/2.38
+11% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
21.1 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Keflavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.34 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2026 Keflavik Keflavik 4-3 HT 1-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
28.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
27.08.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
29.10.2022 Keflavik Keflavik 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
17.09.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 4-8 HT 3-4 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3-1
AWAY Keflavik
1.06 xG 1.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
354 Passes 373
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik saw off Keflavik 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 47% of the ball to Keflavik's 53%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.06 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keflavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 3.00 for Keflavik.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Fram Reykjavik 3-1 Keflavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 51%, draw 22%, Keflavik 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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