İB Vestmannaeyjar 4-1 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 53%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -20%
1.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.71
+13% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
270 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 82%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
13.5 Crosses 19.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Valur
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.98 xG 2.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
210 Passes 450
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2025 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-1 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZK
24.05.2025 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 3-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
10.02.2024 Valur Valur 7-1 HT 3-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
24.06.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-3 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
10.04.2023 Valur Valur 2-1 HT 0-1 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
17.07.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-2 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
4-1
AWAY Valur
2.31 xG 1.81
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
181 Passes 453
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar ran out comfortable winners over Valur 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İB Vestmannaeyjar had 34% of the ball to Valur's 66%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.31 to 1.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 3.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 4-1 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 29%, draw 21%, Valur 49%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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