Afturelding 3-3 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 46%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.69/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.22
+74% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
18.0 Crosses 25.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
1W-0D-2L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.62 xG 1.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 10
285 Passes 252
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 7
24.05.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-0 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL
13.01.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-3 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
06.03.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 1-7 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
3-3
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.62 xG 2.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
457 Passes 360
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
34 Box Touches 38
26 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding and KA Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Afturelding had 56% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 44%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 2.62 to 2.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Afturelding and 3.33 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs KA Akureyri?

Afturelding 3-3 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated an KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 28%, draw 28%, KA Akureyri 44%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ BTTS Yes
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