KA Akureyri 1-0 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.86/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.23
-16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
28.5 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
4.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.01.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-3 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
06.03.2021 Afturelding Afturelding 1-7 HT 0-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-0
AWAY Afturelding
1.08 xG 0.62
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
252 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri squeezed past Afturelding 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 46% of the ball to Afturelding's 54%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 4.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.00 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Afturelding?

KA Akureyri 1-0 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 50%, draw 25%, Afturelding 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
24 May 2025
20:00 Valur vs İB Vestmannaeyjar Analysis →
22:15 Vestri vs Stjarnan Analysis →
22:15 Vikingur R. vs İA Akranes Analysis →