Vestri 3-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 40%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
0.95/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.61
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
19.3 Crosses 19.6
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
207 Passes 440
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 38
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
02.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 4-2 HT 3-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
13.02.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
3-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.46 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
363 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vestri vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri got the better of Stjarnan 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Vestri made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vestri had 51% of the ball to Stjarnan's 49%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.46 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Vestri vs Stjarnan?

Vestri 3-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vestri 37%, draw 27%, Stjarnan 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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