Stjarnan vs Vestri Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v Vestri — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs Vestri Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Stjarnan 1-0 Vestri — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over Vestri 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Stjarnan had 62% of the ball to Vestri's 38%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.75 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stjarnan and 3.00 for Vestri.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Vestri?
Stjarnan 1-0 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Vestri?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 24%, Vestri 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.