Breidablik 5-3 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.22
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
78%
-11.5pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +21%
2.11/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.27
+13% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
34.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.3 Crosses 14.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.97 xG 1.27
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
491 Passes 140
84% Pass Accuracy 61%
33 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.06.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
23.06.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 5-2 HT 2-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
10.04.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-4 HT 0-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
25.09.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
27.06.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
23.07.2020 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
5-3
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.77 xG 1.51
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
415 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik saw off HK Kopavogur 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 64% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 36%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.77 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Breidablik and 2.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs HK Kopavogur?

Breidablik 5-3 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 66%, draw 18%, HK Kopavogur 16%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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