İA Akranes 1-0 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.95/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.52
+30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
28.2 Crosses 24.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-0D-5L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.67 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
194 Passes 344
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 2-3 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.02.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
14.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.08.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.06.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-0
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.99 xG 0.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
261 Passes 401
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes edged past KA Akureyri 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 34% — and on the day İA Akranes made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 44% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 56%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.99 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for İA Akranes and 2.50 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri?

İA Akranes 1-0 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 40%, draw 25%, KA Akureyri 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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