Fram Reykjavik 3-3 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+12.3pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.63/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.25
+31% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
18.9 Crosses 23.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.91 xG 2.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 339
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-3 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
23.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-0 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
10.04.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
23.10.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-0 HT 2-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
11.07.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
25.04.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 4-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
3-3
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.71 xG 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
250 Passes 393
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik and FH Hafnarfjordur shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 43% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 57%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 1.71 to 2.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.17 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Fram Reykjavik 3-3 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 44%, draw 19%, FH Hafnarfjordur 37%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5
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