Breidablik 4-5 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.05
Draw
17%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
45%
+7.5pp
17%
Draw
25%
-7.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -27%
1.51/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.83
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
23.6 Crosses 20.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.21 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 Passes 243
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.09.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.06.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
08.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
13.02.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
17.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
4-5
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.26 xG 3.01
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 2
418 Passes 194
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur nicked a narrow win over Breidablik 5-4 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 65% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 35%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.26 to 3.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Breidablik 4-5 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 52%, draw 17%, FH Hafnarfjordur 31%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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