FH Hafnarfjordur 0-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.11
2-3 Goals
37%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.62/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.68
+14% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
23.1 Crosses 22.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Breidablik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.41
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 364
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
08.04.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
13.02.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 1-3 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZLK
17.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
03.09.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 0-2 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
10.06.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 1-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
0-1
AWAY Breidablik
0.62 xG 0.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
263 Passes 287
66% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik nicked a narrow win over FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Breidablik made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 50% of the ball to Breidablik's 50%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.62 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 0.83 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 0-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 36%, draw 25%, Breidablik 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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