Valur 2-3 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.36
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
17%
5.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.1pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.00/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/0.85
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
20.7 Crosses 19.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.44 xG 2.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
366 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 0-2 Valur Valur İZL
18.06.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZSK
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
20.08.2023 Valur Valur 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-3 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
2-3
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.98 xG 2.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
242 Passes 439
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. edged past Valur 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Vikingur R. made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Valur had 39% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 61%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 1.98 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valur and 2.83 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Valur 2-3 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valur 34%, draw 26%, Vikingur R. 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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