Vikingur R. 3-2 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.89/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.60
+13% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
19.7 Crosses 14.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Valur
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.48 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
328 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
01.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZSK
07.10.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 5-1 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
20.08.2023 Valur Valur 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.05.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-3 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZL
18.03.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 0-1 HT 0-0 Valur Valur İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
3-2
AWAY Valur
2.81 xG 1.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
389 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. squeezed past Valur 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 52% of the ball to Valur's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.81 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.33 for Valur.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Vikingur R. 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 46%, draw 21%, Valur 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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