KR Reykjavik 4-2 İA Akranes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.74
Over 2.5
49%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
33%
+18.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
67%
-18.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.59/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/2.58
-27% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
24.8 Crosses 25.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY İA Akranes
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.69 xG 2.31
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 Passes 300
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.09.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-4 HT 2-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.06.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
25.08.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-2 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
30.05.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
4-2
AWAY İA Akranes
3.22 xG 1.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 16
212 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 45
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs İA Akranes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik got the better of İA Akranes 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KR Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 41% of the ball to İA Akranes's 59%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 3.22 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.83 for İA Akranes.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

KR Reykjavik 4-2 İA Akranes in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs İA Akranes?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 44%, draw 23%, İA Akranes 33%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KR Reykjavik), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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