HK Kopavogur 1-0 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 59%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.4 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK Kopavogur
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 2.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
304 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.09.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
28.06.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
16.04.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
04.09.2015 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL1
02.07.2015 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK Kopavogur
1-0
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.59 xG 2.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
233 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 55
24 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur edged past Fram Reykjavik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HK Kopavogur had 42% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 58%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 0.59 to 2.51 — on chances, Fram Reykjavik could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for HK Kopavogur and 1.17 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik?

HK Kopavogur 1-0 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK Kopavogur vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split HK Kopavogur 25%, draw 24%, Fram Reykjavik 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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