KA Akureyri 2-3 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.3pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.45/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.87
-28% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
22.8 Crosses 22.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 2.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
236 Passes 396
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
13.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
04.07.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
21.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
08.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
11.09.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
2-3
AWAY Breidablik
1.37 xG 2.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik nicked a narrow win over KA Akureyri 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 49% of the ball to Breidablik's 51%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 1.37 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.83 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?

KA Akureyri 2-3 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 35%, draw 24%, Breidablik 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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