Vestri 2-1 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.33
Over 2.5
63%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 31%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.19
-52% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
Crosses 20.6
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
1W-3D-1L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZL
28.04.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-0 HT 0-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
09.03.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
17.09.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
09.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 3-3 HT 1-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vestri
2-1
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.23 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
308 Passes 253
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 34
30 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri edged past HK Kopavogur 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vestri as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Vestri had 54% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Vestri and 1.40 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs HK Kopavogur?

Vestri 2-1 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vestri 43%, draw 24%, HK Kopavogur 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vestri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vestri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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