Vestri 1-0 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.1
Over 2.5
59%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vestri EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
Crosses 20.3
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vestri
0W-2D-1L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZLK
17.09.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-1 HT 0-1 Vestri Vestri İZL1
09.07.2022 Vestri Vestri 3-3 HT 1-2 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
POST-MATCH Vestri vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vestri squeezed past HK Kopavogur 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vestri as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vestri and 2.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of Vestri vs HK Kopavogur?

Vestri 1-0 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vestri vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vestri win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vestri 53%, draw 23%, HK Kopavogur 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vestri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vestri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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