İA Akranes 1-2 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2024

İA Akranes
1-2 HT 1-1
FH Hafnarfjordur
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İA Akranes v FH Hafnarfjordur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 46%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.06/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.50
+30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
– Crosses 23.6
– Yellow Cards 2.2

İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
11.09.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 6-1 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
21.06.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-1 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
11.08.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZK
25.07.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
13.05.2021 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 5-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur squeezed past İA Akranes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day FH Hafnarfjordur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FH Hafnarfjordur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İA Akranes and 2.67 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

İA Akranes 1-2 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 38%, draw 27%, FH Hafnarfjordur 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İA Akranes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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