KR Reykjavik 2-3 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2024

KR Reykjavik
2-3 HT 0-0
Breidablik
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

KR Reykjavik v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
2.29/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.03
+5% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
25.7 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 0.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
181 Passes 344
56% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.10.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-3 HT 1-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.08.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-4 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
13.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
15.10.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 0-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
23.06.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-0 HT 2-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
25.04.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik nicked a narrow win over KR Reykjavik 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KR Reykjavik and 2.00 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

KR Reykjavik 2-3 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 35%, draw 23%, Breidablik 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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