Vikingur R. 4-2 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
64%
-0.2pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.94/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.99
+29% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
27.0 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
4W-2D-0L
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 0.73
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
371 Passes 221
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
16.09.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZK
25.05.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
29.04.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
15.10.2022 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 1-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
28.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. beat KA Akureyri 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.00 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs KA Akureyri?

Vikingur R. 4-2 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 64%, draw 18%, KA Akureyri 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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