Stjarnan 2-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.27/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.23
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.1 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Vestri
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.27 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
408 Passes 285
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Vestri Vestri 3-1 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
15.09.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
02.06.2024 Vestri Vestri 4-2 HT 3-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
13.02.2021 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 1-1 Vestri Vestri İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-1
AWAY Vestri
2.63 xG 1.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
384 Passes 336
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan nicked a narrow win over Vestri 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stjarnan had 51% of the ball to Vestri's 49%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 2.63 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Stjarnan and 2.25 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Vestri?

Stjarnan 2-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 20%, Vestri 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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