Stjarnan 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 7 Apr 2025

📅07/04/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
45%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -26%
1.94/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.73
+29% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
12.9 Crosses 20.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 1.59
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 247
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 2-2 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.09.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 0-3 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
18.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
24.09.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-3 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
29.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
15.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-1
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.19 xG 1.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
390 Passes 188
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan squeezed past FH Hafnarfjordur 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 63% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 37%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.19 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stjarnan and 1.00 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Stjarnan 2-1 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 07/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 49%, draw 21%, FH Hafnarfjordur 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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