Slovan Liberec 0-1 Slavia Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
21%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Prag EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.89
+48% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
205 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
Crosses 22.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slavia Prag
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.24 xG 2.81
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
213 Passes 492
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
08.10.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-3 HT 2-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
18.03.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 1-1 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
02.10.2022 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-0 HT 3-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
13.03.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 1-0 HT 1-0 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag ÇEK
16.10.2021 Slavia Prag Slavia Prag 3-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
0-1
AWAY Slavia Prag
0.70 xG 0.38
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 247
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Prag squeezed past Slovan Liberec 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Prag as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 53% of the ball to Slavia Prag's 47%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Prag led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Slovan Liberec and 2.33 for Slavia Prag.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prag?

Slovan Liberec 0-1 Slavia Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 27%, draw 25%, Slavia Prag 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Prag), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Prag) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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