Sparta Prag 2-0 Dukla Prag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.16
Draw
24%
7.78
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.04
2-3 Goals
38%
2.31
4-5 Goals
29%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
82%
-24.4pp
24%
Draw
10%
+13.5pp
18%
Away Win
7%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
2.54/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.69
+4% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dukla Prag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
18.02.2019 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 2-3 HT 1-1 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
31.08.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
07.04.2018 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 3-0 HT 2-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
30.09.2017 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
04.03.2017 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK
28.08.2016 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-2 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag Sparta Prag ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-0
AWAY Dukla Prag
2.50 xG 0.23
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
588 Passes 202
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag got the better of Dukla Prag 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sparta Prag as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 70% of the ball to Dukla Prag's 30%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.50 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Prag had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sparta Prag and 0.33 for Dukla Prag.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Sparta Prag 2-0 Dukla Prag in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Dukla Prag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 58%, draw 24%, Dukla Prag 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
2 Aug 2024
18:30 Slovan Liberec vs Slavia Prag Analysis →