1860 München 0-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 2 Aug 2024

1860 München
0-1 HT 0-0
Saarbrücken
📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

1860 München vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.03
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
8%
7.09
X/2
14%
4.79
X/X
10%
4.52
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.89
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.17/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.05
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.7 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

1860 München vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
11.11.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 2-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.04.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
02.04.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.10.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3

1860 München 0-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
0-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken squeezed past 1860 München 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, 1860 München had 59% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 41%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 1860 München and 1.33 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Saarbrücken?

1860 München 0-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 32%, draw 25%, Saarbrücken 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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