1860 München 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

1860 München
1-1 HT 0-1
Saarbrücken
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

1860 München vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
13.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 25% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.04
1/2
10%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
11%
6.96
X/2
13%
4.66
X/X
9%
4.61
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.86
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.06
+1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
225 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.7 Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

1860 München vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 2-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.04.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
02.04.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.10.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
20.02.2021 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3

1860 München 1-1 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München and Saarbrücken couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, 1860 München had 45% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 1860 München and 1.50 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Saarbrücken?

1860 München 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 33%, draw 23%, Saarbrücken 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ BTTS Yes
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