Erzgebirge Aue vs Unterhaching Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Unterhaching — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Unterhaching Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
1-1
HT 1-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Unterhaching
AL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Unterhaching
AL2
1-1
HT 0-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL2
1-0
HT 0-0
Unterhaching
AL2
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Unterhaching — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue squeezed past Unterhaching 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 57% of the ball to Unterhaching's 43%, shots finished 7-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 0.50 for Unterhaching.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Unterhaching?
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Unterhaching?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 49%, draw 27%, Unterhaching 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.