Hallescher FC 1-0 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
3.71
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
16%
5.55
X/2
14%
5.65
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
17%
3.81
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hallescher FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.33/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.0 Crosses 32.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hallescher FC
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Verl
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Verl Verl 3-2 HT 3-2 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
10.03.2023 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 2-1 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
03.09.2022 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 5-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
05.02.2022 Verl Verl 0-0 HT 0-0 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC AL3
27.08.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 4-4 HT 2-3 Verl Verl AL3
20.04.2021 Hallescher FC Hallescher FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hallescher FC
1-0
AWAY Verl
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hallescher FC vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hallescher FC squeezed past Verl 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hallescher FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hallescher FC had 45% of the ball to Verl's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hallescher FC and 1.83 for Verl.

What was the final score of Hallescher FC vs Verl?

Hallescher FC 1-0 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hallescher FC vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hallescher FC 34%, draw 27%, Verl 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Verl) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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