Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.96
2-3 Goals
41%
2.07
4-5 Goals
24%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.47
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
22.3
X/1
12%
3.59
X/2
4%
20.05
X/X
10%
8.75
2/1
12%
20.8
2/2
7%
14.3
2/X
4%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-6.8pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +14%
2.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.61
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
Crosses 11.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-5 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
18.02.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
13.08.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
08.05.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
19.12.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-4 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0-2
AWAY Viktoria Köln
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln saw off Dynamo Dresden 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dynamo Dresden at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 60% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 40%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.20 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln?

Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 65%, draw 20%, Viktoria Köln 15%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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