Ansbach 09 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
35%
-7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.9pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 39%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.72/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.71
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansbach 09
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 3-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
14.04.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Ansbach 09 vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 swept aside Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ansbach 09 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ansbach 09 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ansbach 09 and 0.67 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Ansbach 09 vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Ansbach 09 4-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansbach 09 vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ansbach 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ansbach 09 44%, draw 28%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ansbach 09), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ansbach 09) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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