Nürnberg II 1-2 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.63
Over 2.5
53%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
34%
+13.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
66%
-13.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-17.0pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
2.07/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.49
+28% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.54 xG 1.46
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
285 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.04.2024 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
11.08.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 2-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
17.05.2023 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 1-3 HT 1-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
21.10.2022 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
20.05.2022 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 3-3 HT 2-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
22.10.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg II
1-2
AWAY Bayern München II
0.91 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
263 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II squeezed past Nürnberg II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bayern München II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nürnberg II had 45% of the ball to Bayern München II's 55%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.91 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nürnberg II and 2.00 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?

Nürnberg II 1-2 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg II vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg II 39%, draw 25%, Bayern München II 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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