BATE Borisov 0-1 FC Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.84
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.84 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Minsk EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
2.06/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.19
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Minsk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 FC Minsk FC Minsk 0-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
25.10.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
08.04.2023 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
06.11.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 3-2 HT 1-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
09.07.2022 FC Minsk FC Minsk 2-2 HT 2-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
15.08.2021 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Minsk FC Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
0-1
AWAY FC Minsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Minsk nicked a narrow win over BATE Borisov 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was BATE Borisov at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 54% of the ball to FC Minsk's 46%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BATE Borisov and 1.33 for FC Minsk.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk?

BATE Borisov 0-1 FC Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs FC Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 50%, draw 24%, FC Minsk 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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