Juventude 3-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
35%
2.7
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.8
X/1
16%
5.09
X/2
12%
5.55
X/X
26%
3.04
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
15%
4.65
2/X
4%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.1pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.5pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.14
+8% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
25.6 Crosses 16.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fluminense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
244 Passes 451
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
29.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
05.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
18.11.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
03.09.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
24.11.2007 Fluminense Fluminense 3-2 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
3-2
AWAY Fluminense
1.91 xG 1.47
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
353 Passes 412
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude squeezed past Fluminense 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Juventude made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 47% of the ball to Fluminense's 53%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.91 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventude and 1.50 for Fluminense.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Fluminense?

Juventude 3-2 Fluminense in the Brazil - Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Juventude 32%, draw 34%, Fluminense 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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