Fluminense 1-1 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Jun 2024

Fluminense
1-1 HT 1-0
Juventude
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Fluminense vs Juventude Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.45
X/1
19%
3.68
X/2
6%
10.25
X/X
7%
5.27
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
10%
8.42
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
17.3
Value flag · 2/X at 17.3 — our 11% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fluminense v Juventude — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fluminense EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.64/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.36
+23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
24.5 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Fluminense vs Juventude Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fluminense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventude
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.81 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
436 Passes 235
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2022 Fluminense Fluminense 4-0 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
05.06.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
18.11.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-0 HT 1-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1
03.09.2021 Fluminense Fluminense 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
24.11.2007 Fluminense Fluminense 3-2 HT 1-1 Juventude Juventude BR1
09.08.2007 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Fluminense Fluminense BR1

Fluminense 1-1 Juventude — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fluminense
1-1
AWAY Juventude
2.34 xG 1.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
513 Passes 281
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fluminense vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense and Juventude couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Fluminense carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fluminense had 62% of the ball to Juventude's 38%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.34 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Fluminense vs Juventude?

Fluminense 1-1 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 57%, draw 22%, Juventude 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fluminense) ✗ Over 2.5
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