Criciuma vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR1
1-2
HT 1-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-2
HT 1-1
Criciuma
BR1
Criciuma 1-2 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics
Palmeiras squeezed past Criciuma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 39% of the ball to Palmeiras's 61%, shots finished 12-23, expected goals 1.25 to 2.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Palmeiras's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Criciuma and 2.00 for Palmeiras.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Palmeiras?
Criciuma 1-2 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Palmeiras?
Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 30%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.