Vasco da Gama 1-6 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 2 Jun 2024

Vasco da Gama
1-6 HT 1-3
Flamengo
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.74
Over 2.5
53%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.04 — our 25% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
7.43
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
16.8
X/1
7%
8.92
X/2
7%
3.76
X/X
10%
4.79
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
35%
2.28
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasco da Gama v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 58%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.33/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.07
+59% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
17.4 Crosses 18.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.19 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
287 Passes 383
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
06.06.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-4 HT 0-4 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
20.03.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-3 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BRC1
14.03.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 3-2 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1
06.03.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1
20.03.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BRC1

Vasco da Gama 1-6 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
1-6
AWAY Flamengo
0.08 xG 3.86
27% Ball Possession 73%
2 Total Shots 30
2 Shots on Target 18
1 Corners 8
163 Passes 600
71% Pass Accuracy 92%
6 Box Touches 39
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo ran out comfortable winners over Vasco da Gama 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 27% of the ball to Flamengo's 73%, shots finished 2-30, expected goals 0.08 to 3.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 2.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Vasco da Gama 1-6 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 27%, draw 23%, Flamengo 50%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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