Corinthians vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Corinthians
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-3
HT 0-3
Corinthians
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Botafogo
BR1
Corinthians 0-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo squeezed past Corinthians 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Corinthians at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Corinthians had 53% of the ball to Botafogo's 47%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.77 to 1.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.00 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Corinthians 0-1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 43%, draw 26%, Botafogo 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Corinthians) went the other way.