Hebar 1918 1-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
36%
3.64
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+1.9pp
36%
Draw
25%
+11.3pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-13.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-45% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
22.10.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
1-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hebar 1918 and Slavia Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Slavia Sofia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 38% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 62%, shots finished 4-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hebar 1918 and 1.50 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Slavia Sofia?

Hebar 1918 1-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 18%, draw 36%, Slavia Sofia 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slavia Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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